Start keeping score
By translating an important decision into forecast questions and scoring them when the outcomes are known, you and your team get empirical feedback so you can improve your forecasting accuracy. When your team forecasts on Maby everyone can quickly see what others think so meetings are more efficient, everyone is engaged, and risks are identified sooner.
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Government
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Legislative impact
Will a law have the intended impact if passed?
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Delivery date
When will a project be delivered?
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Budget over-run
How much over budget will a project run?
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Long-term projections
What will federal debt be in 10 years?
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Finance
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Private Investments
What will the 5 year revenue CAGR be for a private equity deal?
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Key events
Will the government build a proposed bridge? (If this is important to a decision.)
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Correlations
In 2021 IF US GDP is less than 1%, THEN will the MSCI Emerging Market index increase?
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Risk impact
IF Democrats win the 2020 election, THEN what will the S&P 500 at yearend 20020?
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Research
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Pharma
Will drug candidate X pass Phase 2 trial?
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Artificial Intelligence
What percentage of US citizens will have driven in a level 5 vehicle by 2030?
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Philanthropic Impact
How will malaria deaths in country Z change IF a $10 million donation is made?
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Space Exploration
Will a human land on Mars by 2030?
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